十字線 Complete Guide
What is 十字線?
寄引同時線（ドージ）は、中立的なバイアスを持つローソク足パターンです。 少なくとも1本のローソク足で形成されます。このパターンはテクニカル分析で広く認識されており、すべての市場と時間枠で見られます。
Identification Rules
- The candlestick must have a small real body, indicating that the opening and closing prices are very close to each other.
- The upper and lower shadows can vary in length, but they must be present.
- The prior trend should be established (either uptrend or downtrend) for the Doji to be meaningful as a potential reversal signal.
- Confirmation is needed from subsequent candlesticks to validate the Doji's signal. For example, a bullish confirmation after a Doji in a downtrend would be a strong upward move.
Historical Win Rate Statistics
US
| Total Occurrences | 376 |
| T+5 Win Rate | 50.3% |
| T+20 Win Rate | 56.6% |
| T+20 Avg Return | 42.17% |
Recent Cases
| Symbol | Date | T+20 Return |
|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 2026-04-01 | 18.68% |
| NVDA | 2026-04-01 | 13.73% |
| AMZN | 2026-03-25 | 17.62% |
| AAPL | 2026-03-20 | 5.04% |
| AAPL | 2026-03-19 | 3.99% |
| NVDA | 2026-03-16 | -3.18% |
| MSFT | 2026-03-11 | -8.57% |
| NVDA | 2026-03-11 | -6.25% |
| AMZN | 2026-03-10 | -6.24% |
| MSFT | 2026-03-06 | -10.51% |
References
- Thomas N. Bulkowski (2005). Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
- Steve Nison (2001). Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
FAQ
How reliable is a Doji pattern as a reversal signal?
The reliability of a Doji varies depending on the market context, the preceding trend, and confirmation from subsequent candlesticks. According to Bulkowski, Dojis act as reversal indicators roughly 50% of the time. Confirmation is crucial.
What does a Doji with long shadows indicate?
A Doji with long shadows (a Long-Legged Doji) suggests a greater degree of indecision and volatility during the trading period. The price moved significantly in both directions but ultimately closed near the opening price.
出来高は、十字線の解釈にどのように影響しますか？
A Doji with high volume suggests that the indecision is accompanied by significant market participation, making the signal potentially more reliable. A Doji with low volume may be less significant.
What is the difference between a Dragonfly Doji and a Gravestone Doji?
トンボローソク足は、始値、高値、終値がすべて日中の高値付近に位置し、長い下ヒゲを形成するときに現れます。これはしばしば強気転換のシグナルと見なされます。墓石ローソク足は、始値、安値、終値がすべて日中の安値付近に位置し、長い上ヒゲを形成するときに現れます。これはしばしば弱気転換のシグナルと見なされます。
Should I trade based solely on a Doji pattern?
No, it's generally not recommended to trade solely based on a Doji pattern. Dojis are best used in conjunction with other technical indicators, chart patterns, and an understanding of the overall market context. Confirmation from subsequent price action is essential.
More Analysis
Parts of this page (FAQ, introductions) are AI-assisted. Core data and statistics are algorithmically computed. All pattern definitions are human-reviewed.
免責事項：本ページは公開市場データとアルゴリズムによるテクニカル分析に基づいています。投資助言を構成するものではありません。
Data source: EODHD · © 2026 KlineVision AI