장대양봉 Complete Guide
What is 장대양봉?
The Bullish Marubozu (or White Marubozu) is a single-candlestick pattern characterized by a long, solid body with no upper or lower shadows. In Japanese, 'Marubozu' translates to 'bald' or 'shaved head,' reflecting the absence of wicks. This pattern forms when the opening price is the low of the period and the closing price is the high of the period. It signifies absolute dominance by buyers from the opening bell to the closing bell, leaving no room for sellers to push the price below the open or pull it back from the high. Technically, the Bullish Marubozu indicates extreme conviction. When it appears during an uptrend, it suggests a strong continuation of the current momentum. If it appears at the end of a downtrend, it may signal a potent bullish reversal. According to Steve Nison, the father of modern candlestick charting, the lack of shadows is the defining feature of its strength. Thomas Bulkowski’s research in the 'Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts' suggests that while the White Marubozu is a frequent occurrence, its performance as a trend continuation signal is slightly better than a coin flip, with a theoretical continuation rate of 53% in bull markets. Volume plays a critical role; a Marubozu accompanied by high relative volume is significantly more reliable than one on low volume, as it confirms institutional participation. Traders often look for this candle to break through key resistance levels. However, because the candle is often large, the risk-to-reward ratio can be challenging if the stop-loss is placed at the candle's low. Historically, its performance rank is mid-tier, meaning it is best used as a confirmation tool rather than a standalone signal.
Identification Rules
- The candle must have a long real body relative to the preceding candles on the chart.
- 하단 그림자가 없어야 하며, 즉 시초가가 저가와 같아야 합니다.
- 윗꼬리가 없어야 하며, 즉 종가가 고가와 같아야 합니다.
- 캔들 색상은 강세(일반적으로 흰색 또는 녹색)여야 하며, 이는 종가가 시가보다 높다는 것을 나타냅니다.
References
- Thomas N. Bulkowski (2005). Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
- Steve Nison (2001). Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
FAQ
Does a Bullish Marubozu need to be perfectly shadowless?
Strictly speaking, yes. However, in practical trading, candles with extremely small wicks (less than 5% of the body) are often treated as 'near-Marubozus' and carry similar weight.
What is the historical success rate of this pattern?
불코우스키에 따르면, 백색 마루보즈는 상승장에서 53%의 확률로 지속형 패턴으로 작용합니다. 높은 확률의 단독 신호는 아니지만, 지지/저항과 함께 사용하면 효과적입니다.
거래량이 망치형(Marubozu)에 어떤 영향을 미치는가?
거래량이 많은 마루보즈는 기관의 강력한 매수세를 나타냅니다. 벌코우스키는 캔들이 평균 이상의 거래량으로 형성될 때 성과가 개선된다고 언급합니다.
Where is the best place to set a stop-loss?
The most conservative stop-loss is placed just below the low of the Marubozu. If the body is exceptionally long, some traders use the 50% midpoint of the candle.
반전 신호로 보는 것이 더 나은가, 아니면 지속 신호로 보는 것이 더 나은가?
It is slightly more reliable as a continuation signal in an existing uptrend. As a reversal signal, it requires further confirmation from the following candle.
More Analysis
Parts of this page (FAQ, introductions) are AI-assisted. Core data and statistics are algorithmically computed. All pattern definitions are human-reviewed.
면책 조항: 이 페이지는 공개 시장 데이터와 알고리즘 기반 기술적 분석에 기반합니다. 투자 조언을 구성하지 않습니다.
Data source: EODHD · © 2026 KlineVision AI