Marubozu Bearish Complete Guide
What is Marubozu Bearish?
A Bearish Marubozu is a single-candlestick pattern characterized by a long, dark (usually red or black) body with little to no upper or lower shadows. The term 'Marubozu' translates from Japanese as 'bald' or 'shaved head,' reflecting the absence of wicks. Technically, a perfect Bearish Marubozu occurs when the opening price equals the high of the period and the closing price equals the low. This formation indicates that sellers were in total control from the first trade to the last, driving prices downward without any significant retracement or buying pressure throughout the session. In terms of market psychology, this pattern signals extreme bearish conviction. When it appears during a downtrend, it suggests a strong continuation of the current move. If it appears after a prolonged uptrend, it may signal a potent reversal. According to Steve Nison, the father of modern candlestick charting, the lack of shadows signifies that the bears were aggressive enough to close the session at its absolute low. Regarding statistical reliability, Thomas Bulkowski’s research in the 'Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts' indicates that the Black Marubozu acts as a bearish continuation pattern approximately 53% to 55% of the time, depending on the broader market trend. While it is a high-conviction candle, its performance rank is mid-tier because the move is often so extended that a minor consolidation or 'dead cat bounce' frequently follows. Volume is a critical confirming factor; a Marubozu accompanied by above-average volume carries significantly more weight than one on thin trading activity. Traders often look for the next candle to break the Marubozu's low to confirm the bearish momentum.
Identification Rules
- The candle must have a long real body relative to the preceding candles on the chart.
- 上影なし、つまり寄り付き値が高値となるセッションのこと。
- 下影なし。つまり、終値がセッションの安値である。
- ローソク足の色は弱気（黒または赤）でなければならず、終値が始値よりも低いことを示している必要があります。
References
- Thomas N. Bulkowski (2005). Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
- Steve Nison (2001). Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
FAQ
Does a Marubozu require zero shadows to be valid?
While a 'perfect' Marubozu has no shadows, technical analysts often accept 'near-Marubozu' candles where shadows are less than 5% of the total body length.
What is the best timeframe to trade this pattern?
すべての時間軸で有効ですが、日足および週足チャートは機関投資家の確信を示す完全なセッションを表すため、より高い信頼性を提供します。
弱気の丸坊主の信頼性は、出来高によってどのように影響を受けますか？
出来高の増加は、売り圧力の強さを示唆しています。ブルコウスキー氏は、出来高を伴うブレイクアウトパターンは、短期的にはより良いパフォーマンスを示す傾向があると指摘しています。
Where should a stop-loss be placed when trading this pattern?
ストップロスの一般的なテクニカルな設定箇所は、丸坊主のローソク足の高値のすぐ上であり、その水準を上抜けると弱気の見立てが無効になるためです。
それは主に反転パターンですか、それとも継続パターンですか？
Statistically, it acts as a continuation pattern slightly more often (53-55%), but its context within the existing trend is the primary deciding factor.
More Analysis
Parts of this page (FAQ, introductions) are AI-assisted. Core data and statistics are algorithmically computed. All pattern definitions are human-reviewed.
免責事項：本ページは公開市場データとアルゴリズムによるテクニカル分析に基づいています。投資助言を構成するものではありません。
Data source: EODHD · © 2026 KlineVision AI