宵の明星 Complete Guide
What is 宵の明星?
宵の明星は弱気バイアスを持つローソク足パターンです。形成には少なくとも3本のバーが必要です。このパターンはテクニカル分析で広く認識されており、すべての市場と時間枠で見られます。
Identification Rules
- The first candle must be a long white (bullish) candle appearing within an established uptrend.
- The second candle must have a small real body (a star), and its body should gap above the first candle's body.
- 3本目のローソク足は、少なくとも1本目のローソク足の実体の半分以上を覆う陰線(弱気)でなければなりません。
- 最初と二番目のローソク足の実体は重ならないようにする必要があります。ただし、ヒゲは重なっても構いません。
Historical Win Rate Statistics
US
| Total Occurrences | 149 |
| T+5 Win Rate | 49.0% |
| T+20 Win Rate | 62.3% |
| T+20 Avg Return | 72.60% |
Recent Cases
| Symbol | Date | T+20 Return |
|---|---|---|
| MSFT | 2026-03-18 | -4.98% |
| AAPL | 2026-03-12 | -0.05% |
| NVDA | 2026-03-12 | -4.04% |
| AAPL | 2026-03-04 | -4.14% |
| AAPL | 2026-02-19 | 0.09% |
| MSFT | 2026-01-29 | -7.82% |
| AAPL | 2026-01-15 | 7.08% |
| NVDA | 2026-01-14 | -1.53% |
| MSFT | 2026-01-13 | -10.05% |
| AMZN | 2026-01-13 | 0.15% |
References
- Thomas N. Bulkowski (2005). Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
- Steve Nison (2001). Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
FAQ
ブルコウスキーのデータによると、宵の明星の信頼性はどの程度ですか?
It is very reliable with a 72% theoretical reversal rate and ranks 4th out of 103 patterns for overall performance.
Does the color of the middle 'star' candle matter?
The color is less important than the small size of the body, but a bearish (red/black) star is slightly more potent.
Is a gap between the second and third candle required?
While a gap between the first and second bodies is essential, a gap between the second and third is rare and not strictly required for the pattern.
What role does volume play in this pattern?
3本目の(弱気)ローソク足の出来高が最初の2本のローソク足よりも大幅に多い場合、リバーサルの可能性が著しく高まります。
Where should a stop-loss be placed when trading this pattern?
A standard stop-loss is placed just above the highest point of the second candle (the star).
More Analysis
Parts of this page (FAQ, introductions) are AI-assisted. Core data and statistics are algorithmically computed. All pattern definitions are human-reviewed.
免責事項:本ページは公開市場データとアルゴリズムによるテクニカル分析に基づいています。投資助言を構成するものではありません。
Data source: EODHD · © 2026 KlineVision AI