上昇トライアングル Complete Guide
What is 上昇トライアングル?
アセンディング・トライアングルは、強気バイアスを持つ保ち合いのパターンです。形成には少なくとも20本のバーを必要とします。このパターンはテクニカル分析で広く認識されており、すべての市場と時間軸で見られます。
Identification Rules
- Horizontal Resistance: At least two distinct peaks must touch a horizontal resistance line at nearly the same price level.
- Rising Support: At least two distinct troughs must form a rising trendline, indicating higher lows.
- Duration and Shape: The pattern should consist of at least 20 bars and take the shape of a right-angled triangle narrowing toward an apex.
- Volume Profile: Volume should generally decline as the pattern develops, followed by a sharp increase on the breakout bar.
References
- Thomas N. Bulkowski (2005). Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
- Steve Nison (2001). Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
FAQ
What is the historical success rate of an Ascending Triangle?
According to Bulkowski, the upward breakout in a bull market has a low failure rate of about 13%.
How do you calculate the price target after a breakout?
Measure the height of the triangle at its widest point and add this value to the breakout price level.
Can an Ascending Triangle break to the downside?
Yes, while bullish-biased, they can break downward. Bulkowski notes this occurs in roughly 32% of cases in certain market conditions.
Is volume confirmation necessary for the breakout?
High volume on the breakout significantly increases the reliability of the move and reduces the chance of a false breakout.
Where is the most conservative place to set a stop-loss?
A conservative stop-loss is typically placed just below the most recent higher low within the triangle.
More Analysis
Parts of this page (FAQ, introductions) are AI-assisted. Core data and statistics are algorithmically computed. All pattern definitions are human-reviewed.
免責事項：本ページは公開市場データとアルゴリズムによるテクニカル分析に基づいています。投資助言を構成するものではありません。
Data source: EODHD · © 2026 KlineVision AI