Symmetrical Triangle Complete Guide
What is Symmetrical Triangle?
The Symmetrical Triangle is a classic chart pattern characterized by two converging trendlines: a descending upper resistance line and an ascending lower support line. This formation represents a period of consolidation where the market experiences lower highs and higher lows, indicating a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. According to Thomas Bulkowski in the 'Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns,' the symmetrical triangle is technically a neutral pattern, though it acts as a continuation of the prior trend approximately 54% of the time. The pattern requires at least two touches on each trendline to be valid, though three are preferred. As the price moves toward the apex (the point where the lines meet), trading volume typically diminishes, reflecting the indecision of market participants. A decisive breakout—usually occurring between 64% and 76% of the way through the triangle's horizontal length—is required to signal the next move. Bulkowski’s research indicates that in a bull market, upward breakouts have an average rise of 31%, while downward breakouts in a bear market see an average decline of 19%. Reliability is generally high, with a failure rate of about 9% for upward breakouts in bull markets. However, traders must watch for 'fakeouts' or premature breakouts. Volume should ideally expand significantly on the day of the breakout to confirm the move. If the price reaches the apex without breaking out, the pattern often loses its predictive power and results in listless, sideways movement.
Identification Rules
- Two converging trendlines: a descending upper line and an ascending lower line.
- A minimum of four reversal points (two highs and two lows) are required to define the trendlines.
- Trading volume typically trends downward as the price moves toward the apex of the triangle.
- The breakout should occur between 64% and 76% of the distance from the start to the apex.
References
- Thomas N. Bulkowski (2005). Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
- Steve Nison (2001). Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
FAQ
Is the Symmetrical Triangle a reversal or continuation pattern?
It is considered neutral, but Bulkowski's data shows it acts as a continuation pattern 54% of the time.
How do you calculate the price target for this pattern?
Measure the height of the widest part of the triangle and add/subtract it from the breakout point.
What is the historical failure rate for upward breakouts?
In a bull market, the failure rate for an upward breakout is approximately 9%.
What happens if the price reaches the apex without a breakout?
The pattern is often considered 'stale' and the subsequent move is less reliable and often sideways.
Does volume need to increase on the breakout?
Yes, a surge in volume on the breakout day significantly increases the probability of a successful trade.
More Analysis
Parts of this page (FAQ, introductions) are AI-assisted. Core data and statistics are algorithmically computed. All pattern definitions are human-reviewed.
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