Estrella Vespertina Complete Guide
What is Estrella Vespertina?
La Estrella Vespertina es un patrón de velas japonesas con sesgo bajista. Requiere al menos 3 barras para formarse. Este patrón es ampliamente reconocido en el análisis técnico y se puede encontrar en todos los mercados y marcos temporales.
Identification Rules
- The first candle must be a long white (bullish) candle appearing within an established uptrend.
- The second candle must have a small real body (a star), and its body should gap above the first candle's body.
- The third candle must be a black (bearish) candle that closes at least halfway into the first candle's real body.
- The bodies of the first and second candles should not overlap, though shadows may.
Historical Win Rate Statistics
US
| Total Occurrences | 149 |
| T+5 Win Rate | 49.0% |
| T+20 Win Rate | 62.3% |
| T+20 Avg Return | 72.60% |
Recent Cases
| Symbol | Date | T+20 Return |
|---|---|---|
| MSFT | 2026-03-18 | -4.98% |
| AAPL | 2026-03-12 | -0.05% |
| NVDA | 2026-03-12 | -4.04% |
| AAPL | 2026-03-04 | -4.14% |
| AAPL | 2026-02-19 | 0.09% |
| MSFT | 2026-01-29 | -7.82% |
| AAPL | 2026-01-15 | 7.08% |
| NVDA | 2026-01-14 | -1.53% |
| MSFT | 2026-01-13 | -10.05% |
| AMZN | 2026-01-13 | 0.15% |
References
- Thomas N. Bulkowski (2005). Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns.
- Steve Nison (2001). Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
FAQ
How reliable is the Evening Star according to Bulkowski's data?
It is very reliable with a 72% theoretical reversal rate and ranks 4th out of 103 patterns for overall performance.
Does the color of the middle 'star' candle matter?
The color is less important than the small size of the body, but a bearish (red/black) star is slightly more potent.
Is a gap between the second and third candle required?
While a gap between the first and second bodies is essential, a gap between the second and third is rare and not strictly required for the pattern.
What role does volume play in this pattern?
Higher volume on the third (bearish) candle compared to the first two candles significantly increases the probability of a reversal.
¿Dónde debería colocarse un stop-loss al operar este patrón?
A standard stop-loss is placed just above the highest point of the second candle (the star).
More Analysis
Parts of this page (FAQ, introductions) are AI-assisted. Core data and statistics are algorithmically computed. All pattern definitions are human-reviewed.
Aviso legal: Esta página se basa en datos de mercado públicos y análisis técnico algorítmico. No constituye asesoramiento de inversión.
Data source: EODHD · © 2026 KlineVision AI